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(C) SINIO Summer 2003 Series of Strategic Intelligence Issue
Seminars Begins with Tough Times for Turkey
FROM:
Deputy Chief, Strategic Intelligence Issues
Run Date: 06/10/2003
(C) On Thursday, the SINIO Council and the National Cryptologic School are pleased to present
the first in a series of Strategic Intelligence Issue Seminars for Summer 2003. "Tough Times for
Turkey" will be presented by the Deputy SINIO for Europe,
, on Thursday, 12 June
from 10:30 to 12:30 in Room 2B4118-6 . Advance registration is required; click HERE for
instructions.
Course Overview:
(C) The fallout from the Iraqi campaign has been largely negative for Turkey, and the full impact
of this very bitter episode in U.S.- Turkish relations is still unknown. The pro-Islam Justice and
Development Party (AKP) and the Turkish General Staff (TGS), guardian of Turkey's secular
democracy, view each other with mutual suspicion. The strategic relationship with the U.S. is
seriously weakened, so the U.S. is unlikely to champion Turkey's cause in Europe or with the
IMF/World Bank as fervently. In addition, Turkey's regional influence, particularly in northern
Iraq, has been significantly diminished. The presentation will examine the impact that major
differences in expectations, perceptions, threat definition, decisionmaking, and communication
had on the strategic relationship and assess the likely long-term impact.
(U//FOUO) Please consult the SINIO Website ("go sinio") for information on future events in this
series.
POCs:
, for SINIO Council (
for NCS
and
(
)
)
) for information on current presentation.
"(U//FOUO) SIDtoday articles may not be republished or reposted outside NSANet
without the consent of S0121 (DL sid comms)."
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DERIVED FROM: NSA/CSSM 1-52, DATED 08 JAN 2007 DECLASSIFY ON: 20320108