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SINIO Summer 2003 Series of Strategic Intelligence Issue Seminars Begins with Tough Times for Turkey

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DYNAMIC PAGE -- HIGHEST POSSIBLE CLASSIFICATION IS TOP SECRET // SI / TK // REL TO USA AUS CAN GBR NZL (C) SINIO Summer 2003 Series of Strategic Intelligence Issue Seminars Begins with Tough Times for Turkey FROM: Deputy Chief, Strategic Intelligence Issues Run Date: 06/10/2003 (C) On Thursday, the SINIO Council and the National Cryptologic School are pleased to present the first in a series of Strategic Intelligence Issue Seminars for Summer 2003. "Tough Times for Turkey" will be presented by the Deputy SINIO for Europe, , on Thursday, 12 June from 10:30 to 12:30 in Room 2B4118-6 . Advance registration is required; click HERE for instructions. Course Overview: (C) The fallout from the Iraqi campaign has been largely negative for Turkey, and the full impact of this very bitter episode in U.S.- Turkish relations is still unknown. The pro-Islam Justice and Development Party (AKP) and the Turkish General Staff (TGS), guardian of Turkey's secular democracy, view each other with mutual suspicion. The strategic relationship with the U.S. is seriously weakened, so the U.S. is unlikely to champion Turkey's cause in Europe or with the IMF/World Bank as fervently. In addition, Turkey's regional influence, particularly in northern Iraq, has been significantly diminished. The presentation will examine the impact that major differences in expectations, perceptions, threat definition, decisionmaking, and communication had on the strategic relationship and assess the likely long-term impact. (U//FOUO) Please consult the SINIO Website ("go sinio") for information on future events in this series. POCs: , for SINIO Council ( for NCS and ( ) ) ) for information on current presentation. "(U//FOUO) SIDtoday articles may not be republished or reposted outside NSANet without the consent of S0121 (DL sid comms)." DYNAMIC PAGE -- HIGHEST POSSIBLE CLASSIFICATION IS TOP SECRET // SI / TK // REL TO USA AUS CAN GBR NZL DERIVED FROM: NSA/CSSM 1-52, DATED 08 JAN 2007 DECLASSIFY ON: 20320108

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