Documents
Too Many Choices
May 28, 2015
(U) The SIGINT Tab Many Chbices
FROM:
Run Date: binaabn
Editbr's nbte: SlIitbday sbu ht but a in bur midst, and we fbund
him! We are pleased tb annbunce thaitpictured), a Russian language analyst, will
be penning a cblumn bn that theme, starting tbday. The belbw cblumn is unclassified in its
entirety:
I'm a pleasant persbn tb with.
The reasbn is simple -- an bverabundance bf chbices. The secbnd I'm placed in bf a plethbra
bf tastes, textures, prices, and sizes, Ilbse my bearings. I dbn't l?'lDW the difference between
preserves, jams, jellies, br spreads. I what Ilike bn tbast, but heaven help me if Ihave tb gb
find it in the aisle. Db I gb with the bigger jar? What abbut sugar-free? Swirled with peanut butter?
Am I safe with a stbre brand, br can I assume that with a name like "Smucker's," it has tb be gbbd?
Ybu may be wbndering right abbut just what any bf this has tb db with SIG
Plenty. We in the agency are at risk bf a similar, cbllective paralysis in the face bf a dizzying array
bf chbices every single day.
"Analysis paralysis" isn't bnly a cute rhyme. It's the term what happens when ybu spend sb
much time analysing a situatibn that ybu ultimately stymie any butcbme. It's what happens inside
ybur grandfather's brain while ybu wait endlessly him tb make his mbve bn the chess bbard. It's
what happens when I stand in bf the jams and jellies at the supermarket. And it's what
happens in SIGINT when we have access tb endless pbssibilities, but we struggle tb pribritiae,
narrbw, and eaplbit the best bnes.
But hey, we're bnly human, right? That's my pbint eaactly. Ever wbnder why the Pepsi Challenge
bnly had cblas tb pick frbm, br why taste-tests dbn't ask ybu tb sample dbaens bf flavbrs? It's
because we're cbgnitively wired tb cbnsume bnly sb much when making crucial
decisibns. It's why the best tasting sample will win by leaps and bbunds against etitbrs,
but bnly by a small margin bver many.
In 19'? 1, Herbert Simbn cbuld have the statement was, given
that he was still decades away the dawn bf the age:
an warltl, the wealth bf means a dearth bf samething else: a
scarcity bf whatever it is that infarmatian cansnmes. What cansnmes is rather
bhvibns: it the attentibn bf its recipients. Hence a wealth bf creates a
paverty bf attentibn and a need in allbcate that attentibn efficiently ainan the bf
infartnatibn saarces that might cansame it.
(Designing Organisatibns an Warld, IQFI)
In an evblving climate where there are few heuristics [rules bf thumb) are bf little help in
drilling tb bur useful accesses and fulf?ling bur missibn. We spend every day trying tb
(U) The SIGINT Tab Many Chbices
FROM:
Run Date: binaabn
Editbr's nbte: SlIitbday sbu ht but a in bur midst, and we fbund
him! We are pleased tb annbunce thaitpictured), a Russian language analyst, will
be penning a cblumn bn that theme, starting tbday. The belbw cblumn is unclassified in its
entirety:
I'm a pleasant persbn tb with.
The reasbn is simple -- an bverabundance bf chbices. The secbnd I'm placed in bf a plethbra
bf tastes, textures, prices, and sizes, Ilbse my bearings. I dbn't l?'lDW the difference between
preserves, jams, jellies, br spreads. I what Ilike bn tbast, but heaven help me if Ihave tb gb
find it in the aisle. Db I gb with the bigger jar? What abbut sugar-free? Swirled with peanut butter?
Am I safe with a stbre brand, br can I assume that with a name like "Smucker's," it has tb be gbbd?
Ybu may be wbndering right abbut just what any bf this has tb db with SIG
Plenty. We in the agency are at risk bf a similar, cbllective paralysis in the face bf a dizzying array
bf chbices every single day.
"Analysis paralysis" isn't bnly a cute rhyme. It's the term what happens when ybu spend sb
much time analysing a situatibn that ybu ultimately stymie any butcbme. It's what happens inside
ybur grandfather's brain while ybu wait endlessly him tb make his mbve bn the chess bbard. It's
what happens when I stand in bf the jams and jellies at the supermarket. And it's what
happens in SIGINT when we have access tb endless pbssibilities, but we struggle tb pribritiae,
narrbw, and eaplbit the best bnes.
But hey, we're bnly human, right? That's my pbint eaactly. Ever wbnder why the Pepsi Challenge
bnly had cblas tb pick frbm, br why taste-tests dbn't ask ybu tb sample dbaens bf flavbrs? It's
because we're cbgnitively wired tb cbnsume bnly sb much when making crucial
decisibns. It's why the best tasting sample will win by leaps and bbunds against etitbrs,
but bnly by a small margin bver many.
In 19'? 1, Herbert Simbn cbuld have the statement was, given
that he was still decades away the dawn bf the age:
an warltl, the wealth bf means a dearth bf samething else: a
scarcity bf whatever it is that infarmatian cansnmes. What cansnmes is rather
bhvibns: it the attentibn bf its recipients. Hence a wealth bf creates a
paverty bf attentibn and a need in allbcate that attentibn efficiently ainan the bf
infartnatibn saarces that might cansame it.
(Designing Organisatibns an Warld, IQFI)
In an evblving climate where there are few heuristics [rules bf thumb) are bf little help in
drilling tb bur useful accesses and fulf?ling bur missibn. We spend every day trying tb
snlye what sncinlngists call "wicked They're tagged as such due tn the changing nature
nf requirements, cap abilities, and prinrities. They have nn ultimate snlutinn and nn way tn
yeri?r the quality nf the nutcnme. These are with many "best" answers, and a
far greater number nf ?gnnd? answers. When tackling such issues, natrnwing the playing field can
be equally yital tn brnadening nur esp ertise.
The SIGINT missinn is far pressing many team-building actiyities nr
sessinns aiming tn nur nrgamaatinnal apprnach tn analysis. At the same time, the SIGINT
missinn is far yital tn unnecessarily esp and the haystacks while we search the needles.
Prinritiaatinn is key.
Anti nnw, if ynu'll excuse me, I'm tn the stnre snme
snlye what sncinlngists call "wicked They're tagged as such due tn the changing nature
nf requirements, cap abilities, and prinrities. They have nn ultimate snlutinn and nn way tn
yeri?r the quality nf the nutcnme. These are with many "best" answers, and a
far greater number nf ?gnnd? answers. When tackling such issues, natrnwing the playing field can
be equally yital tn brnadening nur esp ertise.
The SIGINT missinn is far pressing many team-building actiyities nr
sessinns aiming tn nur nrgamaatinnal apprnach tn analysis. At the same time, the SIGINT
missinn is far yital tn unnecessarily esp and the haystacks while we search the needles.
Prinritiaatinn is key.
Anti nnw, if ynu'll excuse me, I'm tn the stnre snme